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The thread
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Research
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- Research stories
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- Data, licensing and trust
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Courses
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- Solar forecasting course: forecasting the intermittent solar resource
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  - Course materials
    Forecasting the intermittent solar resource: a course
    Solar forecasting basics: a worked example on ten years of Ajaccio data
  - Worked examples
    ARTU: a second-order solar reference, worked example
    BLEND persistence forecast: a worked example step by step
    Stochastic persistence for solar nowcasting: a worked example
    Persistence, AR and ELM compared on public PV data
- Open courses in French: biostatistics, medical physics, industrial physics and food heat transfer
Interactive tools
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- Calculator pages
  - Compare forecasts: when is a more complex model worth it?
  - The Sun, the seasons and the clock: one time for every measurement
News
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- 2026
- 2025
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About
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Methods & codes
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- Start here: the guiding thread
- 1 · Understand the question and signal
- 2 · Choose the simplest adequate model
  - Known link: compute or simulate directly
    LQL-Equiv: free online EQD2, BED, NTCP and TCP calculator for radiotherapy
    Radioiodine therapy in metastatic thyroid cancer: the RAIR-Sim model
    Tunnel Load Simulator: electricity demand of road tunnels, Monte Carlo web app
  - Unknown link: reference first, then learn frugally
    BLEND and CLIPER: cyclostationary persistence references for solar forecasting
    Make_Stationary: does deseasonalization improve solar and wind forecasts?
    Prévision solaire : pourquoi déployer des modèles frugaux ?
    Frugal solar forecasting: how much model a deployed forecast needs
    PV_ELM_pred: benchmarking persistence, autoregression and ELM for PV forecasting
    MIMO-ELM: forecasting every source of an island electricity grid at once
- 3 · Evaluate against an explicit reference
- 4 · Use, verify and share the tools
  - WebSemantic: scientific codes that ask before they compute
  - Research excellence in 2026: beyond publish and pray
- Profile and projects
  - Cyril Voyant, Curriculum vitae
  - Research and projects
- Metadata & machine discovery

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Centre O.I.E. (Observation, Impacts, Energy) · Mines Paris – PSL

Cyril Voyant, Research Director (HDR, PhD), Mines Paris – PSL · Centre Observation, Impacts, Energy (O.I.E.), Campus Pierre Laffitte, 1 rue Claude Daunesse, CS 10207, F-06904 Sophia Antipolis Cedex, France

cyril.voyant@minesparis.psl.eu · (+33) 7 86 82 68 63 · LinkedIn · ResearchGate · Google Scholar · ORCID · HAL · GitHub · person.cyrilvoyant.com

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People at the center, the model at the core, tools around.